calibrated SPORTS
NFLTeamsWas

WAS · NFC East

Washington Commanders

2–5–1NFC East · 3rd1999–2026 in the record456 games with a final score

2026, every week, played or not

9 OF 17 PLAYED
1L
2L
3W
4L
5T
6L
7B
8W
9L
10W
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
WinLossTieNot yet playedFinal, stats pendingBye

Overview

NEXT · WEEK 11vs Cincinnati BengalsLineWAS +3.5Total51.5Monday, Nov 23, 8:15 PM ET · opposing coach Zac Taylor. Line and total from the nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded.
LAST RESULT · WEEK 10W 24–21@ New York GiantsWAS24NYG21Margin +3. Final per the schedule; stats pending. Listed line +2.5; against-the-spread results come once lines are confirmed as closing.
MARGIN · 2026−3.0points a gameWidest +17 against Philadelphia Eagles; narrowest −17 at Dallas Cowboys. Eight games still to fill in.
Chance to win the division

NFC East, week 9 the last complete. Showing the model's chance.

  • NYG84%
  • DAL13%
  • WAS3%
  • PHI<2%

Season path

172 points for through week 9 of 2026: 8 of 17 games, every week drawn.

050100150200W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17W1822427588115132159172
Through week 9172
Per game21.5
Projected final wins, 4 to 9 in the central 80%6.2
PlayedNot yet playedBye, week 7
How this is computed

Cumulative points for across the 18-week season, read from this team's own schedule. The axis is drawn complete from week 1: the weeks carrying a result are solid, and every week after them is in the unplayed empty state.

Nothing here is the average so far carried over the games left. The one figure that looks forward is the season model's projected final wins, beside the chart on every tab.

On the Wins tab the dashed line is the season model instead: its mean cumulative wins, week by week, with the central 80% and 95% of its simulations as bands. Each game left carries the model's chance to win it.

Scored walk-forward on 768 team-seasons, 2002 to 2025 (12,446 forecasts), the projected final wins missed by 1.76 wins, root mean square, against 3.08 for the pace line and 1.99 for the standings with every game left a coin flip. With whole seasons resampled, the model is better than the pace line and better than the coin-flip standings.

Walk-forward, the central 80% band held the real final record 89.5% of the time, consistent with the 90.1% of simulations inside it.

Schedule and results

8 of 17 games in 2026 carry a final score.

WEEK 1Sep 13@ Philadelphia EaglesL 22–24 −2LINE +6 · O/U 43.5Nick Sirianni
WEEK 2Sep 20@ Dallas CowboysL 20–37 −17LINE +3.5 · O/U 51.5Brian Schottenheimer
WEEK 3Sep 27vs Seattle SeahawksW 33–31 +2LINE +8.5 · O/U 40.5Mike Macdonald
WEEK 4Oct 4vs Indianapolis ColtsL 13–30 −17LINE +4.5 · O/U 46.5Shane Steichen
WEEK 5Oct 11vs New York GiantsT 27–27 0LINE −3.5 · O/U 41.5John Harbaugh
WEEK 6Oct 19@ San Francisco 49ersL 17–23 −6LINE +7.5 · O/U 51.5Kyle Shanahan
WEEK 7

Bye

WEEK 8Nov 1vs Philadelphia EaglesW 27–10 +17LINE −6 · O/U 40.5Nick Sirianni
WEEK 9Nov 8vs Los Angeles RamsL 13–20 −7LINE +4.5 · O/U 48.5Sean McVay
WEEK 10Nov 12@ New York GiantsW 24–21 +3 stats pendingLINE +2.5 · O/U 40.5John Harbaugh
WEEK 11Nov 23vs Cincinnati BengalsNot yet playedLINE +3.5 · O/U 51.5Zac Taylor
WEEK 12Nov 29@ Arizona CardinalsNot yet playedMike LaFleur
WEEK 13Dec 6@ Tennessee TitansNot yet playedRobert Saleh
WEEK 14Dec 13vs Houston TexansNot yet playedDeMeco Ryans
WEEK 15Dec 20vs Atlanta FalconsNot yet playedKevin Stefanski
WEEK 16Dec 27@ Minnesota VikingsNot yet playedKevin O'Connell
WEEK 17Jan 3@ Jacksonville JaguarsNot yet playedLiam Coen
WEEK 18Jan 10vs Dallas CowboysNot yet playedBrian Schottenheimer

Result against the spread: coming once the schedule's lines are confirmed as closing lines. Line and total come from the nflverse schedule file; capture time is not recorded, so neither is confirmed as the closing line.

Line and total: nflverse schedule file, capture time not recorded, not confirmed as the closing line.

How this is computed

Games played before a relocation are shown under the current franchise.

Margin is points for minus points against, from the row's own two scores. The line is from this team's side: the favourite carries the minus sign.

Offense and defense, by unit

21.5 points a game in 2026, over 8 games.

Points / game21.52026 · 8 GAMES
Pass + rush attempts / game59.52026 · 8 GAMES
Neutral situations · 2025POINT AND INTERVAL · N = 17
Neutral pace, seconds per play29.7s 28.2s–31.4s
Neutral plays per game30.5 24.4–37.2

No 2026 value is published yet for Neutral pace, seconds per play, Neutral plays per game, so each is shown for the season named beside it.

Coming once the analytics export carries per-team play-by-play

Neutral early-down pass rateEPA / play, offenseEPA / play allowed, defensePressure rate generatedPressure rate allowedSack-or-hit rate generated (not pressure)

Rank of 32 is not drawn: an order over teams whose figures overlap within their uncertainty asserts a separation the figures do not support.

How this is computed

Season totals over the games they were recorded across, from this team's own file.

The rows under them are the analytics export's, one value per team per season, each with its interval and n, the number of games it rests on. Under 5 is shown muted and marked: the interval is honest, and too wide to read. The interval's construction is the file's own. Rows of one format share one axis; rows of different formats never do.

Neutral pace, seconds per play. seconds between snaps within a drive, neutral situations only

Neutral plays per game. run and pass plays in neutral situations, per game; still partly a scoreboard measure - a team blown out weekly has fewer by construction

Roster · usage share

Rachaad White leads the offense with 16% of the team's targets and carries in 2026.

RB 45%WR 36%TE 10%QB 9%G 0%
RBRachaad White716%8%26%53%
RBJacory Croskey-Merritt516%3%32%45%
WRStefon Diggs711%20%0%61%
WRAntonio Williams89%16%0%62%
RBAustin Ekeler57%3%11%25%
TEChig Okonkwo67%13%0%69%
QBJayden Daniels67%0%15%93%
WRTerry McLaurin56%11%0%60%
WRTreylon Burks65%9%0%53%
WRDyami Brown73%6%0%44%
RBKaytron Allen33%0%6%12%
RBJeremy McNichols22%0%5%19%
WRVan Jefferson22%3%0%35%
QBMarcus Mariota32%0%3%54%
TEJohn Bates51%2%0%44%
TEColson Yankoff81%2%0%14%
QBAthan Kaliakmanis11%0%1%84%
TEBen Sinnott30%1%0%51%
WRJaylin Lane40%1%0%13%
WRLuke McCaffrey50%1%0%6%
RBCraig Reynolds10%0%1%9%
GBrandon Coleman70%0%0%98%
WRJaden Bradley10%0%0%27%

Offensive line, 4 players at 100% snap share: Chris Paul, Josh Conerly Jr., Lucas Patrick, Sam Cosmi. 31 defensive and 2 special-teams players are on the roster and not drawn. The file carries offensive snap share only, and a column of zeros would be a false figure about each of them.

How this is computed

Volume, not efficiency. On offense each player is ranked by opportunity share: the player's targets plus carries, over the team's targets plus carries, summed over the season. The team file carries no count of plays, so the whole is the team's own opportunities, and a team's shares add up to all of them. The stacked bar is those shares, player by player, each in its position's colour; a row's bar is drawn against the leader's.

Linemen carry snaps and no targets or carries, so they are one line with the spread of their offensive snap share. A player at any position with a target or a carry is ranked. Snap share on this page is offensive snaps only, so it is not shown for defenders or specialists at all.

PPR/G: each game this player's row in the components table carries for this team, scored under the PPR preset, summed, and divided by those games. A player the table does not carry has a dash, not a zero.

Offensive splits by season

Per-game figures, regular season: 28 seasons, 1999–2026.

Points per game, by season

1999–2026 · 2026 IS EIGHT GAMES
27.7'9916.0'0117.9'0322.4'0520.9'0716.6'0918.0'1120.9'1324.3'1521.4'1716.6'1919.7'2119.4'2320.9'2521.5'26
Offense, per game
SeasonG
2026831.0222.01.526.3118.30.633.320.5222.01.521.50.1
20251725.4195.81.128.5134.71.227.616.9195.81.120.90.7
20241729.6231.31.730.9154.11.530.921.5231.31.728.50.5
20231735.4245.51.421.193.60.837.423.9245.51.419.41.2
20221731.2222.51.431.6126.10.532.620.2222.51.418.90.9
20211731.4220.41.228.1121.20.832.420.9220.41.219.70.9
20201635.8237.31.025.0100.71.137.624.3237.31.020.91.0
20191629.0200.31.122.398.90.629.918.6200.31.116.60.8
20181630.6205.41.025.9110.90.831.819.4205.41.017.60.9
20171633.4255.81.725.190.50.633.821.7255.81.721.40.8
20161637.1309.31.623.7106.01.137.925.4309.31.624.80.8
20151634.7268.41.926.897.90.634.724.1268.41.924.30.7
20141634.0278.81.125.1105.70.934.222.8278.81.118.81.1
20131637.4253.61.328.3135.30.938.222.2253.61.320.91.2
20121627.1229.11.532.4169.31.427.618.2229.11.527.30.5
20111636.3253.61.224.999.50.536.921.6253.61.218.01.5
20101637.3266.31.321.991.30.637.821.8266.31.318.91.2
20091632.8237.31.324.594.30.533.321.3237.31.316.61.0
200816—205.70.929.9130.90.831.919.9205.70.916.60.4
200716—226.41.131.2117.00.932.819.9226.41.120.90.7
200616—198.41.230.6138.80.829.417.1198.41.219.20.6
200516—209.11.632.8136.40.930.117.4209.11.622.40.7
200416—179.61.129.4110.30.432.118.0179.61.115.01.1
200316—204.81.326.3102.90.533.017.8204.81.317.91.0
20021635.8232.31.529.6126.90.836.819.9232.31.519.21.3
20011626.2169.80.830.6121.80.627.014.7169.80.816.00.8
20001634.0243.31.127.8109.30.934.921.4243.31.117.61.3
19991632.5257.01.628.9127.41.433.620.3257.01.627.70.9

Tgt is not recorded for 2003–2008.

The record carries 28 seasons, 1999–2026; the splits cover all 28.

Defense, per game
SeasonG
2026825.339.10.331.35.12.15.80.64.41.00.10.0
20251726.536.91.132.14.12.55.50.54.10.60.00.1
20241723.035.64.028.45.12.55.20.43.50.90.10.0
2024 POST335.334.30.726.04.31.74.01.33.00.30.30.0
20231730.537.06.525.14.42.24.90.54.60.60.00.0
20221720.233.24.423.04.62.56.40.54.00.50.10.1
20211725.536.05.024.53.22.26.10.63.60.50.10.0
20201620.638.71.621.44.62.96.11.04.10.90.10.1
2020 POST131.039.01.027.04.03.07.00.03.02.00.00.0
20191627.244.83.321.74.62.95.90.83.31.00.00.0
20181622.437.95.819.73.92.95.90.93.81.20.00.0
20171624.339.25.920.93.82.66.81.05.60.80.10.0
20161623.940.75.619.84.52.46.10.84.71.10.00.0
20151623.736.94.923.43.62.35.10.73.81.40.10.1
2015 POST135.037.07.025.04.01.02.00.04.01.00.01.0
20141627.439.76.018.14.12.34.90.43.00.90.00.0
20131629.938.76.522.04.22.34.51.03.90.80.30.0
20121624.336.66.823.13.11.94.81.35.80.80.20.0
2012 POST124.032.05.051.04.05.07.00.04.01.00.00.0
20111622.936.96.624.0—2.55.10.84.91.10.10.0
20101623.639.511.123.9—1.84.30.95.71.20.10.0
20091621.040.29.915.7—2.54.90.74.81.10.00.0
20081618.532.912.617.3—1.53.90.86.10.70.00.0
20071619.438.811.916.4—2.03.60.95.21.10.10.1
2007 POST135.043.06.06.0—1.01.02.03.01.00.00.0
20061623.539.312.915.1—1.32.70.45.10.80.00.1
20051618.344.64.39.4—2.0—1.05.51.10.10.0
2005 POST215.037.517.519.5—1.5—1.07.02.00.00.0
20041616.643.95.611.8—2.4—1.14.60.80.10.0
20031623.345.95.310.3—1.6—1.14.51.00.00.1
20021622.846.25.215.16.12.62.31.15.81.30.20.0
20011618.942.66.99.63.71.61.51.45.01.20.10.0
20001616.842.84.38.15.02.92.71.14.31.10.00.1
19991623.643.66.212.32.82.52.51.56.01.10.20.0
1999 POST213.533.011.013.04.03.52.51.59.01.50.00.0

TFL is not recorded for 2003–2011. QB Hits is not recorded for 2003–2005.

Yards allowed per game: not in the export, so the defensive table carries points allowed and the counting stats only.

How this is computed

Season totals divided by the games they were recorded over, each unit on its own. A rate the source publishes as a rate is left as one. The chart draws the regular seasons only.

Head coaches

28 seasons

11 head coaches across 28 seasons.

SeasonHead coach
2026Dan Quinn
2025Dan Quinn
2024Dan Quinn
2023Ron Rivera
2022Ron Rivera
2021Ron Rivera
2020Ron Rivera
2019Bill Callahan
2018Jay Gruden
2017Jay Gruden
2016Jay Gruden
2015Jay Gruden
2014Jay Gruden
2013Mike Shanahan
2012Mike Shanahan
2011Mike Shanahan
2010Mike Shanahan
2009Jim Zorn
2008Jim Zorn
2007Joe Gibbs
2006Joe Gibbs
2005Joe Gibbs
2004Joe Gibbs
2003Steve Spurrier
2002Steve Spurrier
2001Marty Schottenheimer
2000Terry Robiskie
1999Norv Turner

In the news

465 scheduled · 456 played · 60 roster rowsLines not confirmed as closingData through week 9, 2026Generated Thu, Nov 12, 9:38 AM ET