WK 01 · NFL
Where the model disagreed, and who was right
Published after settlement. Every disagreement of two probability points or more, scored against the closing line at the sharpest venue we could reach.
DISAGREEMENTS
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week 1 not settled
MODEL AHEAD
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awaiting settlement
MEAN CLV
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awaiting settlement
Not yet published
935 predictions are logged across 14 games, every as-of timestamp before its own kickoff. Model-versus-market disagreements publish only after settlement, so this note fills in on Monday and not before.