Lines · 2026 · Week 10 · read Fri 7:24 PM ET
299 lines posted.
The model leans on 156.
Every posted line this week, the market's price, the Second Opinion beside it, and what leans that size have done before. Nothing leaves the board when it misses.
Week 9, settled
Week 10's market is not broad yet, so this page leads with week 9, as the landing does. What the board said before the games, and what happened. Nothing is removed when it missed.
Leans published, week 9
153 cleared · 108 missed
58.6% of 261 graded cleared, 95% 53%–64%. That interval sits wholly over break-even at −110, 52.4%. 10 leans were void and stay on the ledger. Every lean, graded, on Receipts.
Streaks into week 9
50 carried · 49 broke
101 lines went into week 9 on a streak one of the four rules fired on. 50.5% of the 99 graded carried it, 95% 41%–60%. 2 void. Who carried and who broke.
What a lean is
A gap of 4 points or more between the model and the market.
It is published so it can be graded, not because disagreeing has paid. Every lean stays on the record, cleared or missed.
From the board index · board/nfl/2026/wk10/index.json
Tracker: your prices, against the close
Log a price you took on a line from this board. Each is set against the market’s de-vigged price for that side. A record of your prices, not a score.
Reference: this board’s read of Fri, Nov 13, 7:24 PM ET. Stored in this browser only.
A settled or live line is frozen at its last read before kickoff, so its reference is the close. An upcoming line’s reference is the latest read and can still move; each entry says which. Nothing leaves this browser.
Last read Fri 7:24 PM ET · week 10Break-even at −110 is 52.4%Nothing leaves the board when it misses
Not a sportsbook · no wagers accepted · nothing here is advice · read Fri 7:24 PM ET · 85 reads this week · model baseline-usage-0.4+03571d4710af · board/nfl/2026/wk10