WR · BUF · 2022–2026
Khalil Shakir
This period's fantasy distribution
2026 Week 2 · vs DET · as of Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET
| Clears | 5+ pts | 10+ pts | 15+ pts | 20+ pts | 25+ pts | 30+ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 83% | 55% | 28% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
What it is built from
- MARKET Rec 1.5: 91% · 2.5: 78% · 3.5: 61% · 4.5: 43% · 5.5: 27% · 6.5: 14% · 7.5: 9% · 8.5: 6% · 9.5: 4%
- DERIVED Rec Yds — receptions × yards per catch by position
- MARKET Car — no rush-attempts ladder listed; contributes 0
- DERIVED Rush Yds — attempts × yards per carry by position
- ANCHORED TD — player TD rate scaled by the game total and spread
Source: kalshi · research/implied.py arm A: mid of each rung, no de-vig (exchange); isotonic survival fit; Gaussian copula receptions↔receiving yards; Monte Carlo · 4,000 simulations · game total 53.5, spread −4.5 (nflverse games)
The method was validated on sportsbook ladders, 2023-25 (q90 coverage 0.101 against 0.100). The Kalshi-ladder arm used here has not been independently validated.
Usage trend
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Game log
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Fantasy history
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Season and career
| Season | G | Avg snap % | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Att | Cmp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Fum Lost | 2-Pt | Ret TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 53% | 6 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 60% | 95 | 72 | 719 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2025 post | 2 | 68% | 21 | 19 | 157 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.4 |
| 2024 | 15 | 61% | 100 | 76 | 821 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.2 |
| 2024 post | 3 | 66% | 20 | 18 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.8 |
| 2023 | 16 | 54% | 45 | 39 | 611 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| 2023 post | 2 | 69% | 12 | 10 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.8 |
| 2022 | 10 | 31% | 20 | 10 | 161 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 2022 post | 2 | 35% | 7 | 5 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Career (REG) | 58 | 53% | 266 | 201 | 2,362 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 |
generated Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET