WR · BUF · 2024–2026
Keon Coleman
This period's fantasy distribution
2026 Week 2 · vs DET · as of Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET
| Clears | 5+ pts | 10+ pts | 15+ pts | 20+ pts | 25+ pts | 30+ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 54% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
What it is built from
- MARKET Rec 1.5: 35% · 2.5: 13% · 3.5: 5%
- DERIVED Rec Yds — receptions × yards per catch by position
- MARKET Car — no rush-attempts ladder listed; contributes 0
- DERIVED Rush Yds — attempts × yards per carry by position
- ANCHORED TD — player TD rate scaled by the game total and spread
Source: kalshi · research/implied.py arm A: mid of each rung, no de-vig (exchange); isotonic survival fit; Gaussian copula receptions↔receiving yards; Monte Carlo · 4,000 simulations · game total 53.5, spread −4.5 (nflverse games)
The method was validated on sportsbook ladders, 2023-25 (q90 coverage 0.101 against 0.100). The Kalshi-ladder arm used here has not been independently validated.
Usage trend
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Game log
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Fantasy history
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Season and career
| Season | G | Avg snap % | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Att | Cmp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Fum Lost | 2-Pt | Ret TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 12 | 66% | 59 | 38 | 404 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 2025 post | 2 | 44% | 4 | 2 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2024 | 13 | 73% | 57 | 29 | 556 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 |
| 2024 post | 3 | 60% | 8 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Career (REG) | 26 | 69% | 117 | 68 | 961 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 |
generated Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET