WR · DET · 2022–2026
Jameson Williams
This period's fantasy distribution
2026 Week 2 · vs BUF · as of Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET
| Clears | 5+ pts | 10+ pts | 15+ pts | 20+ pts | 25+ pts | 30+ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 85% | 60% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
What it is built from
- MARKET Rec 1.5: 87% · 2.5: 77% · 3.5: 62% · 4.5: 39% · 5.5: 25% · 6.5: 12% · 7.5: 8% · 8.5: 4%
- DERIVED Rec Yds — receptions × yards per catch by position
- MARKET Car — no rush-attempts ladder listed; contributes 0
- DERIVED Rush Yds — attempts × yards per carry by position
- ANCHORED TD — player TD rate scaled by the game total and spread
Source: kalshi · research/implied.py arm A: mid of each rung, no de-vig (exchange); isotonic survival fit; Gaussian copula receptions↔receiving yards; Monte Carlo · 4,000 simulations · game total 53.5, spread +4.5 (nflverse games)
The method was validated on sportsbook ladders, 2023-25 (q90 coverage 0.101 against 0.100). The Kalshi-ladder arm used here has not been independently validated.
Usage trend
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Game log
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Fantasy history
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Season and career
| Season | G | Avg snap % | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Att | Cmp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Fum Lost | 2-Pt | Ret TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 84% | 9 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 90% | 102 | 65 | 1,117 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.9 |
| 2024 | 15 | 80% | 91 | 58 | 1,001 | 7 | 11 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.1 |
| 2024 post | 1 | 88% | 4 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.0 |
| 2023 | 12 | 53% | 42 | 24 | 354 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| 2023 post | 3 | 67% | 9 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 |
| 2022 | 6 | 19% | 9 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Career (REG) | 51 | 70% | 253 | 152 | 2,558 | 17 | 21 | 142 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.5 |
generated Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET