RB · DET · 2023–2026
Jahmyr Gibbs
This period's fantasy distribution
2026 Week 2 · vs BUF · as of Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET
| Clears | 5+ pts | 10+ pts | 15+ pts | 20+ pts | 25+ pts | 30+ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 100% | 96% | 80% | 52% | 23% | 8% |
What it is built from
- MARKET Rec 1.5: 90% · 2.5: 73% · 3.5: 60% · 4.5: 41% · 5.5: 25% · 6.5: 13% · 7.5: 9% · 8.5: 6% · 9.5: 4%
- DERIVED Rec Yds — receptions × yards per catch by position
- MARKET Car 16.5: 85% · 19.5: 46% · 22.5: 25%
- DERIVED Rush Yds — attempts × yards per carry by position
- ANCHORED TD — player TD rate scaled by the game total and spread
Source: kalshi · research/implied.py arm A: mid of each rung, no de-vig (exchange); isotonic survival fit; Gaussian copula receptions↔receiving yards; Monte Carlo · 4,000 simulations · game total 53.5, spread +4.5 (nflverse games)
The method was validated on sportsbook ladders, 2023-25 (q90 coverage 0.101 against 0.100). The Kalshi-ladder arm used here has not been independently validated.
Usage trend
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Game log
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Fantasy history
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Season and career
| Season | G | Avg snap % | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Att | Cmp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Fum Lost | 2-Pt | Ret TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 74% | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 29 | 156 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 67% | 94 | 77 | 616 | 5 | 243 | 1,223 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 55% | 63 | 52 | 517 | 4 | 250 | 1,412 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21.3 |
| 2024 post | 1 | 75% | 11 | 6 | 70 | 0 | 14 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35.5 |
| 2023 | 15 | 56% | 71 | 52 | 316 | 1 | 182 | 945 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 2023 post | 3 | 41% | 14 | 11 | 94 | 0 | 29 | 144 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16.9 |
| Career (REG) | 50 | 60% | 233 | 186 | 1,479 | 10 | 704 | 3,736 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20.1 |
generated Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET