TE · BUF · 2019–2026
Dawson Knox
This period's fantasy distribution
2026 Week 2 · vs DET · as of Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET
| Clears | 5+ pts | 10+ pts | 15+ pts | 20+ pts | 25+ pts | 30+ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | 33% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
What it is built from
- MARKET Rec 1.5: 42% · 2.5: 14% · 3.5: 6% · 4.5: 3%
- DERIVED Rec Yds — receptions × yards per catch by position
- MARKET Car — no rush-attempts ladder listed; contributes 0
- DERIVED Rush Yds — attempts × yards per carry by position
- ANCHORED TD — player TD rate scaled by the game total and spread
Source: kalshi · research/implied.py arm A: mid of each rung, no de-vig (exchange); isotonic survival fit; Gaussian copula receptions↔receiving yards; Monte Carlo · 4,000 simulations · game total 53.5, spread −4.5 (nflverse games)
The method was validated on sportsbook ladders, 2023-25 (q90 coverage 0.101 against 0.100). The Kalshi-ladder arm used here has not been independently validated.
Usage trend
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Game log
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Fantasy history
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Season and career
| Season | G | Avg snap % | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Att | Cmp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Fum Lost | 2-Pt | Ret TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 67% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 16 | 59% | 49 | 36 | 417 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| 2025 post | 2 | 56% | 8 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 2024 | 14 | 61% | 33 | 22 | 311 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 2024 post | 3 | 59% | 6 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 10 | 61% | 36 | 22 | 186 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| 2023 post | 2 | 41% | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 2022 | 15 | 80% | 65 | 48 | 517 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| 2022 post | 2 | 82% | 12 | 8 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 2021 | 15 | 87% | 71 | 49 | 587 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.9 |
| 2021 post | 2 | 93% | 9 | 7 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.4 |
| 2020 | 11 | 59% | 44 | 24 | 288 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 2020 post | 3 | 71% | 13 | 10 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 2019 | 15 | 64% | 50 | 28 | 388 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2019 post | 1 | 69% | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Career (REG) | 97 | 68% | 349 | 230 | 2,701 | 27 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
generated Tue, Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET